IMARC Group has recently released a new research study titled “United States Commercial Real Estate Market Size, Share, Trends and Forecast by Type and Region, 2026-2034”, offers a detailed analysis of the market drivers, segmentation, growth opportunities, trends and competitive landscape to understand the current and future market scenarios.

Market Overview

The United States commercial real estate market size was valued at USD 742.3 Billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach USD 995.6 Billion by 2034. The market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.32% during the forecast period from 2026 to 2034. This growth is fueled by strong demand in industrial and logistics properties, expanded e-commerce activities, and population shifts to vibrant economic regions. Favorable business climates and technological advancements continue to attract institutional investment.

Study Assumption Years

●     Base Year: 2025

●     Historical Year/Period: 2020-2025

●     Forecast Year/Period: 2026-2034

United States Commercial Real Estate Market Key Takeaways

●     Current Market Size: USD 742.3 Billion in 2025

●     CAGR: 3.32% (2026-2034)

●     Forecast Period: 2026-2034

●     Industrial is the leading property type with a 26.96% market share in 2025, driven by demand for warehouses and distribution centers linked to the expansion of e-commerce.

●     The South region dominates with a 29% share, propelled by population influx, business-friendly climate, and lower taxes attracting corporate relocations.

●     Market growth is supported by continued e-commerce expansion, population migration to Sun Belt states, and technological advancements including AI adoption.

●     Challenges include elevated interest rates restricting financing, rising insurance costs due to climate risks, and structural shifts reducing demand for traditional office and retail spaces.

●     Institutional investors focus on high-quality properties with sustainability features and modern amenities, reflecting a flight to quality trend.

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United States Commercial Real Estate Market Growth Factors

The continued growth of e-commerce is one of the key drivers of the US commercial real estate market, particularly in the industrial and logistics sector. The e-commerce market size in the United States amounted to USD 1,236.5 Billion in 2025, driving the demand for larger warehouse footprints closer to urban areas and their consumers. Retailers are investing in large regional distribution and smaller last-mile facilities to enable omnichannel distribution and meet same-day and next-day delivery requirements. Warehouses are also growing to accommodate these demands, and retailers are investing in automated warehouses and those designed for improved loading, unloading and consolidation.

Long-term demographic shifts to southern and southwestern economies for climate, lower state taxes, cheaper housing and job growth, continue to create opportunities across the commercial real estate property sectors from households and businesses migrating out of higher-cost coastal markets. Demand for multifamily and retail space is coming from these higher-growth southern and southwestern metropolitan areas and also for office space. The presence of a larger consumer base, and the migration of corporations to business friendly states, are also cyclical phenomena of industrial development, which creates employment, housing, and retail demands and vice versa.

The expansion of artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and digital transformation has led to greater demand for data centers and technology-enabled commercial real estate. The United States AI market size was USD 41,532.7 Million in 2025. The rising demand for computing power is leading to rapid growth in hyperscale data centers, with technology companies investing heavily. To attract technology tenants, commercial real estate investors are embedding smart building technology, energy management and advanced connectivity within their properties. The growth of the digital economy requires buildings to be fitted with advanced technology infrastructure and energy solutions to meet tenant demand.

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United States Commercial Real Estate Market Segmentation

Breakup by Type Segments:

●     Offices

●     Retail

●     Industrial

●     Logistics

●     Multi-Family

●     Hospitality

Breakup by Region Segments:

●     Northeast

●     Midwest

●     South

●     West

Regional Insights

The South region dominates the U.S. commercial real estate market with a 29% market share in 2025. This dominance stems from strong population increases, business-friendly climates, and favorable tax conditions attracting corporate relocations. Texas and Florida are key states driving rapid growth in industrial, multifamily, and retail sectors. Major metropolitan centers include Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston, Atlanta, and Miami, which have become focal points for institutional investment and corporate expansion.

Recent Developments & News

In January 2026, SVN Commercial Partners announced the resumption of the sale process for the Waterfront Property in Fishermen's Village, Punta Gorda, Florida. This property features over 97,000 square feet of retail and office space, five fully leased waterfront eateries, a permitted marina with 142 wet slips, upland development rights, and 47 two-bedroom, two-bath waterfront hotel apartment suites.

Key Players

●     SVN Commercial Partners

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Customization Note

If you require any specific information that is not covered currently within the scope of the report, we will provide the same as a part of the customization.

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